Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 1.567807 1.781982 2.016733 2.293460 2.611175 2.965032 3.389709
2025-11-09 1.192476 1.459101 1.775050 2.178283 2.681004 3.289384 4.084909
2025-11-16 0.981178 1.275885 1.648442 2.156627 2.835901 3.718305 4.960804
2025-11-23 0.822654 1.126071 1.531224 2.116177 2.946375 4.093233 5.816322
2025-11-30 0.747797 1.071640 1.525829 2.216122 3.250763 4.762915 7.175261
2025-12-07 0.674967 1.007037 1.493361 2.266943 3.484309 5.355975 8.508580
2025-12-14 0.599462 0.926724 1.424700 2.249569 3.605460 5.787323 9.647895
2025-12-21 0.524344 0.836532 1.328007 2.172128 3.615052 6.034532 10.511471
2025-12-28 0.494583 0.814034 1.334206 2.260463 3.907115 6.785053 12.357331
2026-01-04 0.467522 0.792178 1.337758 2.342758 4.196720 7.566812 14.380339
2026-01-11 0.437563 0.761551 1.322114 2.387741 4.422547 8.260077 16.341368
2026-01-18 0.410704 0.733093 1.306469 2.429502 4.645583 8.974841 18.456216
2026-01-25 0.370575 0.677480 1.237771 2.366856 4.666037 9.312207 19.880260
2026-02-01 0.327857 0.612624 1.145080 2.246488 4.555255 9.369197 20.711285
2026-02-08 0.301874 0.576848 1.103776 2.223516 4.642137 9.851806 22.585686
2026-02-15 0.276656 0.539898 1.056141 2.181448 4.682150 10.237884 24.303264
2026-02-22 0.269000 0.537089 1.076227 2.284560 5.054711 11.422215 28.181486
2026-03-01 0.256879 0.523823 1.073299 2.336996 5.319393 12.396689 31.717516
2026-03-08 0.239519 0.497806 1.040760 2.319016 5.416487 12.983803 34.346745
2026-03-15 0.218660 0.462278 0.984163 2.239004 5.353195 13.164785 35.901339
2026-03-22 0.213191 0.459747 0.999670 2.330246 5.726030 14.512286 41.024901
2026-03-29 0.207451 0.456007 1.011998 2.415261 6.095252 15.909489 46.590239
2026-04-05 0.199323 0.446023 1.008920 2.461733 6.370271 17.095918 51.768699